The European Union is often
hailed as a shining example of a liberal institution. What isn’t there to love
about it? Twenty-seven states (with more clamoring to join) give up a share of
their passport-free travel between member states, and for seventeen of the EU
states, a monetary union that eliminates exchange rates and promotes further
trade. It seems like the perfect setup.
Then along came the Eurozone
crisis. The whole world cringed as Greece’s financial system crumbled, with
their debt at 182.2% in relation to their GDP. The European Union has had to
authorize bailouts to Greece to prevent the country from filing bankruptcy. Other
members of the Eurozone also have extremely high ratios of debt-to-GDP ratios:
Italy is currently at 146.6%, Spain at 179.4%, and even Germany, Europe’s
current economic powerhouse, is at 185.1%. And it only goes up from there. In
fact, nearly all of the Eurozone members (and EU members and general) have
higher debt-to-GDP ratios than is actually allowed by the European Union, with
Ireland rounding out the group with their debt at 1,382% in relation to their
GDP. Member states are supposed to keep their debt-to-GDP ratio below 60%.
Somewhere, something went horribly wrong. What about the
EU’s clear guidelines were misunderstood? Was it simply the council’s fault for
not properly keeping an eye on the member states? According to Jason Manolopoulos,
an expert on the Greek financial crisis and the Eurozone, "There
was shockingly weak due diligence in assessing the suitability for entry into
the euro, and equally weak application of the few rules that were supposed to
police its operation.” Members of the Eurozone – Germany in particular – wanted
to create a currency that would have a very strong standing in the world
market. By spreading the Euro to many countries, the Euro’s clout strengthened
as it became applicable in more and more places. Guidelines were made lax in
order to ensure that the Euro would become a world player. Countries were
allowed nearly total reign over their own economic infrastructure – something
Eurozone members were not to expect due to the Maastricht Treaty, which
outlines the guidelines by which Eurozone members must abide.
The Euro quickly expanded to become a world
power. One US dollar is worth less than one Euro – current exchange rates peg
the euro at $1.00 = 0,75€. However, this value
has depreciated in the past few months due to the financial crisis. Because
exchange rates are determined by supply and demand, and the demand for the Euro
has fallen due to lack of faith in it.
Leaders from EU member states are
struggling to reach a conclusion as to how to “fix” the Eurozone. One current
solution, which was proposed by France and Germany, is to essentially separate the
Eurozone from the Union and make it its own entity, which will make financially
regulating the member states easier. However, this plan is currently in limbo
because the British Prime Minister, David Cameron, sees no benefit in it for the
country.
Angela Merkel, Germany’s
chancellor, has said that it doesn’t make a difference if Britain decides to sit
this one out if all of the other countries agree to create a new financial
pact. However, this sorely hurts the cohesion that the European Union has built
up since its creation. Liberal institutions are built upon cooperation, which
is currently very difficult to attain due to different attitudes towards the
economic crisis.
At this point, it seems clear that
the members of the Eurozone must either band together more strongly and create
more austere measures for fiscal policy or let the liberal institutionalism
fade into the background and let the individual countries pick up the remaining
pieces. Both solutions have the potential to be detrimental to everyone
involved.
If the European Union is to
prevail, it will follow the standards of liberal institutionalism and give up
even more of its economic sovereignty to reach higher security standards among
member states. Regulations will be set in place and every country – especially
those already in jeopardy – will be very closely monitored. The only concern to
doing so is that the Germans have been leading the charge on financial
austerity and that the EU will slowly be taken over by solely German economic
policy. This is already an issue being hotly debated, especially because any
one country “taking over” the EU would make it a non-liberal institution.
Instead, it would hold more of a realist’s perspective, with one country being
the hegemon of the European Union. This is something no one wants to happen,
even Germany, whose stance in the world is almost entirely dependent upon its
ties to the EU.
As the EU is already a strong and
seriously taken world player, it should continue to follow its liberal roots
and take the path to financial austerity through the use of essentially
Keynesian economic policy. Not only does the EU need a net to fall back on,
like so many have suggested, it also needs to ensure that member states have
strong economies that follow the guidelines of the Maastricht Treaty, like they
were originally supposed to. Following their measures would ensure the EU
economic prosperity and a world-wide influence for years to come.
WORKS CITED
Alessi, Christopher. "The Eurozone in
Crisis."Council on Foreign Relations. 02 Dec 2011: n. page. Web.
Augstein, Jakob. "The Return of the Ugly
Germans Merkel Is Leading the Country into Isolation." Der Spiegel.
08 Dec 2011: n. page. Web.
Baker, Luke. "Europe pushes ahead with
fiscal union, UK isolated." Reuters 11 Dec 2011, n. pag.
Web.
Signe,
ReplyDeleteIt is difficult to suggest to the EU to follow a more theoretical path, such as following liberal values, and not letting realist tendencies to overtake the Eurozone. Do you have any ideas for a concrete step-by-step produce the Eurozone can take to keep from falling apart. I feel like countries like Greece at a time of economic crisis need a plan of action rather than lofty advice. As we’ve seen in the US, Obama’s optimistic goals to escape economic recession have been less effective than more play-by-play plans.
Signe,
ReplyDeleteWhen we went to the EU delegation, the topic of "kicking Greece" out of the EU was often brought up. From looking at the situation from this perspective, do you think kicking Greece out of the EU would really be a liberal move?
Signe, everyone is waiting what will happen with the EU and there is not much expected. Angela Merkel announced the establishment of the new "eurozone" with only "powerful" countries. If they will succeed in its separation, would it be an example fot the US? What if some states will decede that they can be more succesful by its own?
ReplyDelete