Tuesday, October 11, 2011

Why the U.S will lose the war on terror

Following the tragic events on 9/11 the U.S government quickly responded to the attacks by declaring a war on terror focusing on the Islamic terrorists that had attacked the United States. This was primarily targeted Al Qaeda and its affiliates as they were the ones who conducted the first attack on U.S soil. The primary objective was to seek and destroy Osama Bin Laden, his commanders, Al Qaeda and their affiliate terrorists groups. Secondly its objective was to sponsorship, support and sanctuary to terrorists; by ending state sponsored terrorism, work with willing and able states, enable weak states to fight terrorism, persuade reluctant states and compel unwilling states to fight terrorism. By accomplishing these goals the U.S government believed that the U.S would be safe once more, and further would give the entire world a sense of security. In the name of this war to secure the security of the United States the U.S would invade Afghanistan to hunt down Osama Bin Laden and Al Qaeda members; along with overthrowing the Taliban government who supported Al Qaeda and bring in a peaceful democratically elected government for the Afghan people. It also marked the start of massive U.S aid to national governments across the globe to fight the spread of terrorism and contain the cancer which was Islamic terrorism. So millions and millions of dollars were sent to countries like Pakistan, Somalia, Yemen and the Philippines to give them the resources they needed to combat and crackdown on Al Qaeda and its affiliate members. The U.S also invaded Iraq in Operation Iraqi Freedom as Iraq was seen by the U.S government as possibly having ties to Al Qaeda and could potentially proliferate weapons of mass destruction to terrorist. From a pure military aspect the U.S succeed in its objective to kick out both the Taliban and the Saddam Hussein regime in Iraq, and later succeed in killing the mastermind behind Al Qaeda Osama Bin Laden.

Medgar Evers once said “You can kill a man but you can’t kill an idea” which ultimately states the reason why the U.S will ultimately lose in their war on terror. As the U.S can kill as many terrorists as they want but if they ultimately do not address the reasons for why the terrorists are fighting, the terrorists will ultimately win. Even Al Qaeda themselves admit to this concept as they themselves said “while the U.S. may have killed al-Awlaki, "it cannot kill his ideas," and that his death "gives new life and revival to his ideas and style."

This is due to the fact that the majorities of defense and security policy makers have the overwhelming perspective on the war as a realist and understate the importance that a constructivist perspective brings to light. There is more than meets the eye when it comes to terrorism because there are multiple reasons for why the war besides what a realist would point out.

A realist perspective on the war might be that it is due to Al Qaeda goal to push the U.S out of the Middle East and Africa in order to gain bases from which to launch attacks on the U.S. So in order to counter this U.S need to kick the terrorists out of their safe heavens, this was the reason for the U.S invading Afghanistan and kicking both the Taliban and Al Qaeda out. This is also the reason the U.S gives for why it is using drone strikes to target and destroy terrorists in Pakistan and Yemen. However what the realist point of view doesn’t do is analyze the consequences of this effect, as drone strikes can create more terrorists than they kill. It also doesn’t touch the topic that the drone strikes can influence the Muslim population to associate the U.S with deaths. Or another realist perspective would be that Al Qaeda is trying grabbing as much power and influencing in the Middle East region and creating an Islamic state thus weakening the U.S. This is the reason why the U.S will still fund money to shady regimes in countries like Pakistan, Egypt, and Bahrain as they believe that as long as Al Qaeda is weakened they can overlook some of a country’s flaws like human rights violations.

However what policymakers in Washington need understand is why the jihadists and mujahedeen are fighting against the U.S the U.S in the first place. It is due to the fact that they feel that their religion is being threatened and thus retaliate against the U.S and the western world in order to “save their religion”. While a realist scholar might point out that religion has nothing to do with this war and has nothing to do with Islam vs. Christianity; there are several holes in that theory. The first is that there is a long bloody, conflict riddled history in the Middle East between Christians and Muslims stretching all the way back to the Middle Ages that cannot be ignored. This has over the century led to a major mistrust between Muslims and Christians as they both recognize the horror the other side has done to their people. To those who argue it can’t be a war between Islam and Christianity because the U.S is secular, it must be recognized that while the U.S government is secular the majority of the American electorate is Christian. If one would ask a random citizen in the U.S what the war on terror was about, it would be highly likely that they would respond that it was a war on the Muslim terrorists. If one were to ask a random Pakistani tribesman what the war on terror was about, it would be highly likely that they would respond that it was a war to repel the Christian invaders. So while it is technically not a war on Islam (as the majority of Muslims would not recognize the terrorists as representing Islam) it is seen by the majority of people as one.

Thus the conflict between the Muslims extremist and the U.S and western world is not one that can be explained rational. As the terrorists ultimately are in no position to gain enough power to really challenge the U.S and would benefit more by cooperating with the U.S. As the conflict is more fundamentally based upon the idea of identity rather than it is based upon the idea of power. Al Qaeda and the Muslims terrorists believe that the U.S/ Western ideas and culture are subverting the true identity and nature of Islam which will cause its ultimate demise in their eyes. As they fear the more western influence is allowed to spread over the Middle East (say girls wearing skimpy outfits) the more it will change the face of Islam and change what the average person perceives of Islam. Thus it changes their own identity and challenges their core beliefs and challenges what their whole lives are based upon; and that is what deep down inside they are frighten of. As if it was viewed through a rational lens the Muslim extremist group Al- Shabab (which is an offshoot of Al Qaeda) when given the choice of choosing whether to accept U.S aid or fight against the U.S would clearly choose the aid. However in actuality this was not the case and instead of accepting U.S aid they put more of their resources into fighting the U.S and the U.S backed government; because they see it as a crusade to destroy Islam. As a result their desire to protect their religion and identity overrules their sense of rationality, so that they are willing to fight a vastly superior opponent in the “name” of Islam. The idea of identity could also be linked to why the U.S and its allies have had such a hard time getting locals to not support Muslim terrorists and join with them in getting rid of them. Even if 95% of the local Muslim population say along the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan do not believe that the Muslim terrorists are truly representing Islam. A majority of the time they will side with the terrorists and not give them up because they associate with the identity of the terrorist more than that of the U.S, and do share the belief that the U.S and Western powers are corrupting Islam and trying to get rid of it.

The U.S on the flip side is also fighting a war to preserve their identity that was greatly tarnished by the events of September 11. Before 9/11 the U.S was seen as a big mighty power that no one dared to mess with and was the undisputed hegemon of the world. Americans themselves carried themselves with a sense of superiority and an air of invincibility; that was completely shattered in one day. It could be argued that it was this case of shattered false identity that they were not invincible which really messed with Americans and made them truly upset. So in order to regain some of their lost identity as the hegemon of the world and regain some of their mojo, the U.S declared this great war on terrorism.

America in the minds of many people in the world is no longer the undisputed champion and hero of the world due to the fact that they lose their good reputation when they started their war on terror. Through events/actions such as the invasion of Iraq (with the proclamation that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction), waterboarding and drone strikes to name a few; the U.S is no longer seen as the world’s policemen but now is seen as the world’s largest bully. It can be clearly seen in Europe where a large number of Europeans have gone from supporting the U.S, to criticizing it and in some cases hating the U.S. It is this case of changed identity that will cause the U.S to ultimately lose the war when the U.S believes it has won the war on terrorism. As its actions in the war on terror are no longer seen as justified in the eyes of the world; and as such for every terrorist they kill more come to take their place. This is why from a realist point of view drone strikes are effective as they kill key targets of Al Qaeda and its affiliates and weakens them; thus making the U.S more secure. However it can be argued that the drone strikes actually hurt the U.S as the Muslim community begins to associate the identity of the U.S with a murderer who is willing to kill innocent civilians as long as they reach their objectives. This is what turns a lot of passive Muslims into terrorists and creates an unbreakable violence cycle that will continue to go on.

So in order to turn the tide of the war in the U.S favor, the U.S must change its identity and change what the Muslim world perceives of the U.S. Only by doing so is there a chance the U.S can break the cycle of violence and one day declare victory on this endless war.

Works citied

Diamond, Larry. “Winning the new cold war on terrorism” Hoover Institution. Stanford University.

“Bush: U.S Can’t Win War on Terror” Associated Press 2009. CBS

Al-Haj Ahmed. “With al-Awlaki dead, al-Qaida lacks Western voice”. Associated Press October 1, 2011. Yahoo.

8 comments:

  1. After reading I have some question. First of all, as you referenced to Islamic and Muslim terrorism, does it mean that terrorism has religious base or is related somehow to defence of religious views? And how state sponsored terrorism related to them, or this religious terrorism is actually sponsored by states?

    Secondly, you mentioned that Al Qaeda wish to push the US out of Middle East, would not be rational just to leave Middle East that will stop great spendings on missions there and stop agression of Middle Eastern terrorist organizations? (excluding that Al Qaeda is a real threat for the US)

    Also I think that after the 9/11 when the US already lost it reputation of being the safe place for citizens, the military actions in Middle East do not help them to look better.

    Trying to analyze, I tried to answer the question: Do the US succeeded to win terrorism in 10 years? The answer was "no" and the reasons? If that to count that there were enough resources and enough time, only one reason left - lack of desire. Maybe the problem is that the US never actually posed the goal to fight against terrorism? Maybe it was just made to make the invasion to Afganistan and Iraq possible?

    With this background, the announcement of a victory over Bin Laden, designed to distract world public opinion on a number of objective economic and political problems, in my opinion, has not met expectations creators of this operation. Anyway as tension still remains,someone has fight with it, but why states are seductively use agression, causing even more agression?

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  2. I agree with you, in that I also think the War on Terror falls more under a constructivist category then a realist one. Not because there aren't realistic aims on both sides, but mostly due to the ideological aspect you mentioned and analyzed. Being "Muslim," "Christian," "American," and "Middle Eastern" carries too much baggage to be ignored, and I think you did a good job analyzing it.

    A point I find interesting, that I would like to know your opinion about, is the death of Osama Bin Laden. Many American's assumed the war was over after his death, or saw the major threat of terrorism as defeated. The truth however is that one man does not control the Taliban, and that while Bin Laden's death carries a huge symbolic weight and meaning, realistically, it changes very little about the war.

    Do the population and the government differ then in their constructivist views? Is the population more 'constructivist' then the government? Or does the populations views affect and mold the actions of the government?

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  3. When looking at the wars between US and Afghanistan as well as Iraq, I can always draw so many connections between these two wars and the Vietnam War. Same as these two wars, in the Vietnam War, US was also fighting the idea of "Communism". And now, US is making the same mistake, it is again fighting against an idea which is "terrorism". I don't think a country can win by fighting against an idea. Ideas stay in people's mind, it is not even a concrete object.

    I think Tony you drew a very good connection between the war and Constructivism. But I just wonder except for identity, what else can US get from this war? Why did US pay so much effort to fight against an idea?

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  4. I understand that the 9/11 attacks were an act of war seen through a Constructionist's scope, however I am curious to see in what way the United States is acting through constructivism. You say the United States retaliated to fight against terrorism,so we are acting through the realist theory. By providing funds to other nations in the Middle East for the sole purpose of eliminating 'terrorism' we are once again only looking to succeed in our country's goal. Finally by trying to regain our appearance as the hegemony, we are fighting for our nation's best interest. So my the point of this rant, is if you know of any changes in military action to appeal to constructivism. Are our soldiers trying to change the appearance we maintain in the middle east, or are we still fighting as realists?

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  5. Victoria

    Terrorism can be for a number of reasons such as eco terrorism, right/left wing terrorism, racial terrorism, economic terrorism etc. Terrorism is a mean to an end or a way an individual or group achieves there goal and is not one solid concept. Religious terrorism is a respond by a group of people who feel that their religion is being threatened or is trying to bring the world underneath their religious views. A state can support terrorism by not prosecuting terrorists in their country, by supplying them with money and weapons, and by giving them advice. So it can be religious terrorism that states sponsor, but it does not have to be. In the case of Iran the religious government of Iran did create and is sponsoring a religious terrorist group Hamas, and supplies them with money and weapons. However there is also state sponsored terrorism that is not religious based such as the National Liberation Army( suspected to be sponsored by Venezuela.
    However states do not always create the terrorism group, but instead the groups form on their own and states find it advantageous to use them. However it is debatable where such a thing called state terrorism exists because states are seen has having the legitimate right to use violence. This is why the U.S drone’s strikes/ CIA actions is regarded by some countries as terrorism, but the U.S denies this claim saying they are military operations.
    There are multiple reasons why the U.S simply withdrawing out of the Middle East entirely is a bad idea and would really not end the war anyways. The Islamic terrorism would still perceive Western influence creeping upon Islam (such as in countries as Saudi Arabia where women are getting political rights) and would continue to fight. This can be compared with the idea of communism in which it can only truly succeed when capitalism is wiped off the face of the earth. It would also set two precedences which have enormous consequences for the U.S. First of all it would show the terrorist that they are capable of pushing the U.S around (giving them the identity that they are powerful) and know that if they continue that they can fight the U.S. It would also set the precedent of the U.S abandoning its allies and would thus make countries disregard the U.S as an ally because they simply break the alliance. It would also give the terrorists the chance to strength back up and allow them a better opportunity to strike the U.S. It would also put the terrorists back in charge in Afghanistan and Iraq and would let millions of people in the hands of people who would stone women for driving.
    I would agree with you that one of the reasons that the war on terrorism is unlikely to end is that there are no real clear objectives. As I said above even if the U.S gives in to the Islamic demands to withdraw out of the Middle East, the terrorists would simply pick a new reason to declare a jihad on the U.S. The U.S could kill a 10 thousand more terrorists and if there are more people to take their place the war will not end.
    Why would you say that the war on terrorism was created in order to invade Afghanistan and Iraq?
    Well the thing is you really can’t declare victory with the death of one person, if there are others willing and able to take their place. States (such as Iran) use these tensions in order to weaken their opponents thus strengthening themselves.

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  6. Julia

    My opinion is that while the death of Osama greatly weakens Al Qaeda and makes it a lot harder for them to strike the U.S, ultimately it is more of a temporary thing than permanent. So while the U.S has been able to kill/capture a number of high ranking Al Qaeda leaders after his death, there are still thousands of more terrorists capable of filling their slots.

    I believe the only way to end the war is not in the hands of the U.S but the muslim people of the war. They must standup to the terrorists and not let them define their religion and identity anymore.

    It depends, the pop and the gov can believe in the same ideas or not. Such as a large percent of U.S citizens see the war or terrorism as a war on Islam, but the U.S gov does not see it that way. I would say that governments do tend to look at things more from a realist point of view, but I believe most people do the same. The population can influence the government to look at things from a constructivist point of view ( such as the Arab Spring) but the government can do the same (communism)

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  7. Kimmy

    There are lots of people who believe the two wars are the same because they are more based on an idea rather than solid concrete objectives.

    Ideas are powerful things and could be argue are the reasons most wars are fought. There is a lot the U.S stands to gain if they "win" the war on terror that cannot really be measured in concrete terms. If they win the hearts and mind of the Muslim people in the Middle East and change the idea that the U.S is bad; then they stand to gain a lot.

    Other than that they stand to gain an increased security from a more stable Iraq and Afganistan

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  8. Frank

    I would say the U.S is fighting both a realist and constructivist war. The U.S is trying to eliminate Al Qaeda physically in order to make the U.S secure.

    But at the same time they are trying to fight a constructivist war and change the perception of the view people in the Middle East have of the U.S. If you have read the Good Soldier, remember the part with the soccer ball? The soldiers on the ground are trying to change the image that people have of the U.S as a hegemony. So in that way they are acting like constructivist.

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